Clinton Electability Faces Scrutiny

The argument that Hillary Clinton is the strongest general election candidate is seriously complicated by the latest Quinnipiac national poll, taken after the New Hampshire primary, between Feb. 10 and 15 (PDF download). Clinton trails four of the five Republican candidates, leading only Donald Trump with a tenuous 1 percent. ...

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House Democrats Expected to Gain Seats in 2016

Barely one month into the next cycle, some have determined that Republicans will retain control of the House in an election 22 months in the future. Recent articles appearing in the Washington Post and the respected Cook Report have predicted that Republicans are overwhelming favorites to retain control of the ...

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U.S. Senate Outlook Favors Democratic Majority in 2016

The Democratic effort to retake the U.S. Senate in 2016 will be strongly affected by the presidential election. If Hillary Clinton's impressive lead in the polls is any indication of her party's potential, Democrats will be well-positioned to win the handful of seats needed to regain control. With a net ...

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North Carolina 2014 U.S. Senate Post-election Analysis

Democratic Senator Kay Hagan recently lost her bid for reelection in North Carolina to Republican Thom Tillis. Careful analysis strongly suggests that Hagan and her team should not have shied away from Obama in her 2014 campaign. Obama's participation could have helped activate the state's disinterested Democratic and African-American bases ...

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Virginia 2014 U.S. Senate Post-election Analysis

Democratic Senator Mark Warner recently won his bid for reelection in Virginia over Republican challenger Ed Gillespie. Warner was expected to win by a healthy margin given his incumbent advantage and an under-financed opposition, however, the contest was much closer than anticipated. Warner was considered the most popular elected official ...

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