Six Races Will Decide Control of the Senate

In recent weeks, the battleground in the race for control of the U.S. Senate has solidified, and while some contests that we anticipated would be competitive have faded from view, control of the chamber is still in doubt. As other observers have suggested, control of the Senate now hinges on ...

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A New Democratic Senate Majority Could be Short-Lived

Democrats are poised to regain control of the US Senate in 2016. The ongoing implosion of the Trump presidential campaign has complicated the reelection prospects of several Republicans, especially those in Democratic leaning states. But maintaining control in 2018 and beyond will be increasingly difficult. Democrats need 5 seats to ...

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Trump Thinks He Can Win Ohio, He Might Be Right

The close margin in Kentucky's May 18 Democratic primary underscores some of Hillary Clinton's potential vulnerabilities in the general election (which we raised earlier, after the Indiana Primary). Overall, the race in Kentucky was amazingly close, especially considering how well Clinton performed in Lexington, home of the University of Kentucky. ...

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The Roadmap to a New Democratic House Majority

Earlier this year, the NCEC went on the record with an initial projection of a Democratic pickup of 12 to 15 seats this November. With more than six months left before the election, this remains the most likely outcome and many analysts are wondering what a Democratic wave would look ...

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U.S. Senate Outlook Favors Democratic Majority in 2016

The Democratic effort to retake the U.S. Senate in 2016 will be strongly affected by the presidential election. If Hillary Clinton's impressive lead in the polls is any indication of her party's potential, Democrats will be well-positioned to win the handful of seats needed to regain control. With a net ...

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Remembering National Director Russell Hemenway

On January 30, 2014 the NCEC lost its National Director Russell Hemenway. Beginning with his activity in the Lexington Democratic Club, Russ spent his lifetime as a reformer. Through his work at the NCEC, Russ was an outspoken critic of the Vietnam War, earned a spot on Nixon's enemies list, and was a driving force behind campaign finance reform and the establishment of the FEC in 1971.

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North Carolina 2014 U.S. Senate Post-election Analysis

Democratic Senator Kay Hagan recently lost her bid for reelection in North Carolina to Republican Thom Tillis. Careful analysis strongly suggests that Hagan and her team should not have shied away from Obama in her 2014 campaign. Obama's participation could have helped activate the state's disinterested Democratic and African-American bases ...

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Virginia 2014 U.S. Senate Post-election Analysis

Democratic Senator Mark Warner recently won his bid for reelection in Virginia over Republican challenger Ed Gillespie. Warner was expected to win by a healthy margin given his incumbent advantage and an under-financed opposition, however, the contest was much closer than anticipated. Warner was considered the most popular elected official ...

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