Election Night Guide 2022

Download our Election Night Guide for the 2022 Midterm. Election Day is November 8th. After a summer of encouraging news for Democrats, recent coverage is focused on whether we face a Republican takeover of Congress.

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The Missing New Hampshire 2022 Redistricting Files

Some common reports and data files are not readily available for the New Hampshire House of Representatives 2022 redistricting plan. During and after redistricting, states typically provide updated population counts, population deviations, and maps. But official New Hampshire sources have not been forthcoming with this information for their newly enacted ...

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Kansas Abortion Vote In Charts

Kansas’ “Value Them Both” amendment was soundly defeated in the state’s August 2nd primary election. Republican and unaffiliated voters were instrumental in defeating the amendment. More Republicans than Democrats were expected to vote based on statewide registration and a greater number of contested Republican primaries. Support for the pro-choice position ...

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A Quick Update

At the NCEC, we have been busy preparing for the upcoming 2022 elections. This past cycle, we have been consumed with processing and integrating the data we need for our upcoming campaign planning data and analysis. This includes: Integrating and analyzing redistricting plans for the US Congress and individual State ...

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How to Make Sure Trump Loses

Last week, we detailed Joe Biden's current electoral college advantage in the upcoming presidential election (see Biden Surge and Trump Failures). In this article, we expand on the winning scenarios we briefly touched on before. A recent Axios poll (see Axios, June 30), shows that only 19 percent of Republicans ...

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Biden Surge and Trump Failures Expand Electoral Map

The November 2020 general election is fast approaching, and Democrats now have a clear lead in 18 states. This tranche provides the presumptive nominee Joe Biden with a base of 212 electoral votes—58 short of the required 270. Four more states—Michigan, Minnesota, Nevada, and New Hampshire—with 36 electoral votes are ...

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Trump Weaknesses Remain Despite Recent Polling

A new Washington Post-ABC News poll released this week contains a few surprises in Trump's favor, but also reveals obstacles in the way of a his re-election, as well as indicators to shape Democrats’ strategy for maintaining control of Congress. Here’s what stands out most to us in the report: ...

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Ahead of 2020 Election, Path to Democratic Victory Emerges

With nearly two dozen candidates competing for the Democratic nomination and a clear divide over impeachment of Donald Trump, the Democratic presidential primary election is looking to be a tumultuous affair. Despite this, a national path to victory is already taking shape. Benchmark data indicate that Democrats can repeat the success ...

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Suburbs Remain Key to 2020 Democratic Majority

In 2020, Democratic House candidates face a more complex situation than they did in 2018. The Democratic party now faces competing priorities—while they look to win additional congressional districts that are trending Democratic (especially in Texas), they must also work to protect the multitude of freshman representatives who were elected ...

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